Trump making America great but could it be even better?

The major mainstream media was shocked and awed by the electoral big short position Donald Trump pulled on the political establishment, first within the Republican clique during the primary for the nomination and then within the Democratic machine during the race for the election and finally within the American psyche during the vote for the Presidency, taking a gamble on the entire political market failing to make the gain by strongly betting against that political establishment and its privileged elite of the Beltway that had collateralized and mortgaged the future of America on lended credit owned by the rest of the world. There is no other reason to explain Trump past this very simple narrative the major mainstream media continues to keep as complex as possible so others do not follow suit, if you followed the minor alternative media which can be found mainly on the internet online, it pointed exactly to how America saw itself deeply in the mirror as one failed nation state that just wanted to make itself great again, especially after recent heartfelt promises of hope, change, and progress in the decade or so previously came to naught and never really came true for real people who felt real hurt by the system. A president elected by hope to change the system and progress beyond the financial crisis from within the subprime mortgage lending market he was first elected into, a bright hope that he would bring progressive comprehensive financial reforms that address basic income and wealth inequality focussed on the disappearing middle class working family, massive levels of poverty, and various socioeconomic problems affecting seniors and youth, a hope faded as Barack Hussein Obama II never lived up to such legislative expectation from his electoral promises with even less chance for change if Hillary Rodham Clinton had been elected after the Democrats capitulated their nomination and only real chance for change in Bernie Sanders.

So, now with Trump making America great but could it be even better is the question, as the first casualty in all this American infighting between Blue States versus Red States is bipartisanship once so proudly displayed by the likes of Republican Arizona Senator John Mccain and Democratic Wisconsin Senator Russ Feingold using campaign finance reform as the issue of the day.

Not that President Trump would actually use bipartisanship as Obama at least publically displayed its virtues, instead he moves singlehandedly towards holding those campaign promises he made and seriously act on them within the first one hundred days being a great wall to block illegal or undocumented immigration from south of the border with Mexico, making all global free trade deals America has made internationally fair as well, and looking to never repeat another 9/11 in America, and more importantly for Donald, New York City never ever again by instituting a travel ban from targeted Muslim nations he feels most likely harbours these future terrorists. Bipartisanship would slow all these efforts down with a legislative drag never seen before as not only does members of Congress from both the House and the Senate on the Democratic side dislike Donald, so does many if not the majority of the members from the Republican side of Congress, which is why he and his whole White House administration has an earned paranoid distrust seen never before since the days of Watergate and has many within Washington and without comparing Trump to Nixon with help from the unfriendly and uninviting major mainstream media that looks only to do more harm to his term for the next four years as was given. Ironically, though he looks to keep his divisive election promises he made to his American public that duly elected him President of the United States of America, Donald may end up only getting those four years without the seemingly automatic next four to go simply because unlike Obama who did not live up to his promised expectations yet kept everyone in the political establishment and its privileged elite of the Beltway happy in Washington, Trump may step on the wrong toes on his drive onward and forward to making America great again yet in the end losing a better and more bipartisan one in the process.

Ottawa-Vanier gives the Ontario Tories a cup that keeps running over

With such a large Franco-Ontarian contingent and much of Ottawa's francophone population Ottawa-Vanier would be a safe bet for a return to another Liberal like the former Liberal MPP Madeleine Meilleur it looks to replace with Ontario Liberal Party candidate Nathalie Desrosiers, however the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario has been campaigning hard behind its candidate André Marin, running along with him in the byelection are Ontario New Democratic Party candidate Claude Bisson, and the Green Party candidate Raphaël Morin, with Canadian Constituents Stephanie Mcevoy, Libertarian Dean Harris, objectivist Freedom David Mcgruer, perennial Pauper John Turmel, None of the Above Noneof Zabove, Peoples Political Party leader Kevin Clarke, and Stop The New Sex Ed Agenda Elizabeth Deviel Castel amongst the fringe. Usually with byelections one expects the normal 81.412 valid total voters from the 2014 general election to drop by around half, more or less around 48,847 should be par, with the top issue of the byelection being the hydro electricity billion dollar boondoggle and green energy goofup by the Wynne Liberals has been the biggest talk on the street. The Seventeenth of November will be a tough one to call, as the Ontario Tories pulling a parachute with their high profile candidate jumping in from Nepean may hurt their protest vote, however Marin should still gain 36% and win the seat, Desrosiers and the Grits place second with 33 percent of the vote, Bisson and the Neodemos take up third with 30 in percentage, as Morin and the Greens finish with fourth at less than 1%, from the fringe I actually think the fight for fifth starts with the high profile Stop The New Sex Ed Agenda candidate Deviel Castel who will gather a less than 1% of the vote in her fight against government intrusiveness on parental matters, while the best of the rest goes as follows Libertarian Harris sixth, None of the Above Zabove seventh, Constituents Mcevoy eighth, Peoples leader Clarke ninth, Freedom Mcgruer tenth, and Pauper Turmel eleventh.

Ottawa-Vanier gives the Ontario Tories a cup that keeps running over, as the former Ombudsman for Ontario Marin used his clarion call as a watchdog for progressive civil liberty against the Grit star candidate Desrosiers who was once the dean of the civil law section at the University of Ottawa, president of the Law Commission of Canada, and general counsel for the Canadian Civil Liberties Association in her own right, thus a byelection that will be close between these two defenders of democracy.

Repeating the message twice in simultaneous byelections Kathleen Wynne and the Ontario Liberals are slowly feeling the shock of the frog in a pot of water quickly boiling over, as the loud Marin underregulated daycares, beatings in overcrowded jails, and of course the overbilling and alledgedly illegal privatization of Hydro One, it seems that unofficial opposition continues to fight on no matter which file the Ontario Liberals continue to intervene and institute their own rules nor how scared Andrea Horwath and her Ontario New Democrats are to ever try pulling the electoral trigger again. The obvious lesson Progressive Conservative leader Patrick Brown should have learnt here is principled grassroots politics trumps pragmatic astroturfed politics, one cannot fix or specially endorse political race for nomination primaries or general election campaigns for the gain of your own agenda especially if that agenda is diametrically opposed to one espoused by the general membership you are supposed to be leading, nothing wrong in being different but completely remaking and doing over the whole program so it no longer can recognized ideologically by its followers throws ones leadership into question at best and worst chaos and calamity in a time you need to create solidity and stability. The political elite and the main stream media industrial complex establishment still think not just that only they know best, as recently shown in the Trump Clinton United States Presidential Election where political talking heads, pundits, and pollsters got it wrong over and over again, but they even afterwards still refuse to listen, understand, and begin getting the message that we the people want to say to its government and societal institutions.

Niagara West-Glanbrook where only the good fly young

Controversy was heavy in Niagara West-Glanbrook, where 19 year old Brock University poli sci student Sam Oosterhoff and his Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario looks to not only replace former Ontario Tory leader and MPP Tim Hudak but also become the youngest Member of Provincial Parliament ever, only having to get past Ontario Liberal Party candidate Vicky Ringuette, Ontario New Democratic Party candidate Mike Thomas, and the Green Party candidate Donna Cridland, with Canadian Constituents leader Arthur Smitherman, Libertarian Stefanos Karatopis, None of the Above leader Greg Vezina, Peoples Political Party Dwight Mclean, Stop The New Sex Ed Agenda Queenie Yu, and Independent Martin Poos amongst the fringe, making this potentially historical byelection race another mad one. Usually with byelections one expects the normal 97,201 valid total voters from the 2014 general election to drop by around half, more or less around 65,405 should be par, with the top issue of the byelection being the hydro electricity billion dollar boondoggle and green energy goofup by the Wynne Liberals has been the biggest talk on the street. The Seventeenth of November will be groundbreaking, as the Ontario Tories let another internal matter contaminate the external race locally to depress their protest vote, however Oosterhoff should still gain 49% and win the seat, Thomas and the Neodemos place second with 29 percent of the vote, Ringuette and the Grits take up third with 19 in percentage, as Cridland and the Greens finish with fourth at less than 3%, while the fight for fifth from the fringe I actually think the Stop The New Sex Ed Agenda Yu will gather a little bit less than 1% of the vote as there is a lot of groundswell immigrant support for her fight against government intrusiveness on parental matters, while the best of the rest and that 0.1% piece of pie goes as follows, Libertarian Karatopis sixth, None of the Above Vezina seventh, Independent Poos eighth, Peoples Mclean ninth, and Constituents leader Smitherman tenth.

Niagara West-Glanbrook where only the good fly young, as the former Harper Conservative parliamentary executive assistant, junior staffer, and policy analyst Oosterhoff dispatched both the Ontario PC leader Brown endorsed provincial party president and former Harper Conservative MP Rick Dykstra and Ontario PC provincial party vice president and regional councillor Tony Quirk to win the nomination primary, coming up the middle with 699 votes to 525 for Dykstra, 245 from newspaper owner Mike Williscraft, and 225 for Quirk which was amazing.

Repeating the message twice in simultaneous byelections Kathleen Wynne and the Ontario Liberals are slowly feeling the shock of the frog in a pot of water quickly boiling over, as the young Oosterhoff stated echoing a earlier Brown during his leadership race last year that his support of parents as primary educators to ensure that parental rights are respected in education will remain, it seems that unofficial opposition continues to fight on no matter which file the Ontario Liberals continue to intervene and institute their own rules nor how scared Andrea Horwath and her Ontario New Democrats are to ever try pulling the electoral trigger again. The obvious lesson Progressive Conservative leader Patrick Brown should have learnt here is principled grassroots politics trumps pragmatic astroturfed politics, one cannot fix or specially endorse political race for nomination primaries or general election campaigns for the gain of your own agenda especially if that agenda is diametrically opposed to one espoused by the general membership you are supposed to be leading, nothing wrong in being different but completely remaking and doing over the whole program so it no longer can recognized ideologically by its followers throws ones leadership into question at best and worst chaos and calamity in a time you need to create solidity and stability. The political elite and the main stream media industrial complex establishment still think not just that only they know best, as recently shown in the Trump Clinton United States Presidential Election where political talking heads, pundits, and pollsters got it wrong over and over again, but they even afterwards still refuse to listen, understand, and begin getting the message that we the people want to say to its government and societal institutions.

Close calling Clinton versus Trump threatens Tuesday

One is not able to please anyone in this United States Presidential Election of 2016, Democratic Party presidential nominee Hillary Clinton of New York with her vice presidential running mate Tim Kaine and Republican Party Presidential Nominee Donald Trump and his vice presidential running mate Mike Pence are still neck and neck by all probabilities and possibilities, thus I will not change my estimation from my thoughts post convention early August. The ensuing phantasmagorical fiasco that was supposedly a presidential election campaign truly confirmed my original suspicions, however if one positive can be gained from this pessimistic endeavor, be it the guaranteed increase towards voting at most conservative estimates being 70% of the just over 200 million eligible thus 140,700,000 will be voting at the very least. To come to a final statistical tally, I took in all the past vote, present polls, and future considerations, what I am very sure of is that either Hillary or Donald will win only one of the two votes for the popular and electoral and thus we shall have our first split decision again since Gore versus Bush 2000. Though it could go either way being Clinton loses the popular and wins the electoral and Trump wins the popular and wins the electoral or Trump loses the popular and wins the electoral and Clinton wins the popular and wins the electoral as close as the polling and trend has been where either ticket will beat the other by 10 give or take states and in between 3 points of vote, I see a positive momentum towards the latter scenario at the current. Thus I believe Hillary will carry the popular vote with 70,772,100  at 50.3% and Donald will end up with 49.7% at 69,927,900 votes across America, however Trump will gain all the swing bellwether states Florida, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin on the key point of economic outlook, trade protection, and job creation, thus win the electoral vote 274 to 264 while Hillary will still carry the most states being 31 + D.C. over 29 for the Donald. Trump takes Alabama @ 9, Alaska @ 3, Arizona @ 11, Arkansas @ 6, Colorado @ 9, Florida @ 29, Georgia @ 16, Idaho @ 4, Illinois @ 20, Iowa @ 6, Kansas @ 6, Louisiana @ 8, Maine @ 4, Michigan @ 16, Mississippi @ 6, Missouri @ 10, Montana @ 3, Nebraska @ 5, New Hampshire @ 4, Nevada @ 6, North Carolina @ 15, North Dakota @ 3, Ohio @ 18, Oregon @ 7, Pennsylvania @ 20, South Carolina @ 9, Utah @ 6, West Virginia @ 5, and Wisconsin @ 10 while Clinton carries California @ 55, Connecticut @ 7, Delaware @ 3, District of Columbia @ 3, Hawaii @ 4, Indiana @ 11, Kentucky @ 8, Maryland @ 10, Massachusetts @ 11, Minnesota @ 10, New Jersey @ 14, New Mexico @ 5, New York @ 29, Oklahoma @ 7, Rhode Island @ 4, South Dakota @ 3, Tennessee @ 11, Texas @ 38, Vermont @ 3, Virginia @ 13, Washington @ 12, and Wyoming @ 3. Caveat lector multum, excepting Nevada, if Trump loses any of the other swingers then game over and Clinton is the victor and the popular vote then seems to flip back to the Donald.

All in all, close calling Clinton versus Trump threatens Tuesday leaving us a matchup that will be closer than Gore versus Bush without a doubt and leave the nation paralyzed in a final moment of polarization, before either bipartisanship or possibly multipartisanship finally breaks out in the House by the end of this next session then Senate afterwards.

In the Senate races my gut says little change is really expected amongst the upper 34 seat Class 3s, as Alabama, Alaska, Arizona, Arkansas, Florida, Georgia, Idaho, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Missouri, New Hampshire, North Carolina, North Dakota, Ohio, Oklahoma, Pennsylvania, South Carolina, South Dakota, Utah, and Wisconsin stay Republican, while California, Colorado, Connecticut, Hawaii, Maryland, Nevada, New York, Oregon, Vermont, and Washington stay Democrat with only the Ron Johnson versus Russ Feingold rematch in the Dairyland being the closest to a flip as it remains 54-44 majority for the Republicans. For the House, of the lower 435 Congressional Districts for the 115th United States Congress, I feel a change of hands between 28 and 47 seats for the Republicans and between 11 and 20 for the Democrats seems realistic which could lead to a blue swing back towards the Democrats who only need 32 more to gain control of Congress which currently remains 246-186 majority for the Republicans, GOP seem to have lost the handle on at least 19 seats but the Democrats are still fumbling 9 so a gain of 10 keeps the GOP running the House if the Whigs can not find 22 more. And finally the gubernatorials should divide with the states of Indiana, North Carolina, North Dakota staying with and Missouri, Montana, and New Hampshire switching Republican, while the states of Delaware, Oregon, and Washington with the U.S. territories of Puerto Rico and American Samoa staying not switching Democrat, as far as I can see there. Focusing back on the presidential battle, a battle where sex and the media sold the political election campaign from the primaries onward, the distraction from serious issues of civil liberty, national security, health, education, energy, the environment, states rights, funny how in the end the policyless campaigns derailed themselves in the end by sexual insinuation and innuendo, as Trump got grabbed by a Bush via undercover mic and Clinton was whacked by a Weiner via secret email. How the nation moves forward after this is anyone elses guess, the economic inequality of pre Obama era and the Barack Administration I and racial instability of the Barack Administration II and post Obama era brings America back to a time of disunity and doom rather than its promise of progress and time of harmony and hope, as America enters into days as dark as its Reconstruction era from 1865 of Abraham Lincoln the Andrew Johnson to 1877 of Ulysses Grant under the National Union brand perhaps once again yet another national unionist ideology becomes a third purple way to bridge the ever widening divide between the Reds and Blues during this generation.