Friday, February 22, 2019

From Beaver River to Burnaby South a Return to Reform

Despite the Leader of the Opposing Third Party running in this largely Chinese-Canadian contingent riding of Burnaby South where the safe bet would be a return to another Democratic Socialist like the former NewDemo MP and current Mayor of Vancouver Kennedy Stewart it looks to replace with federal New Democratic Party leader and candidate Jagmeet Singh, however the People's Party of Canada has been campaigning hard behind its candidate Laura-Lynn Tyler-Thompson, running along in the byelection are Liberal Party candidate Richard Lee who quickly replaced Karen Wang, Conservative Party candidate Jay Shin, and while the Green Party did not run but their former provincial candidate Valentine Wu is running independently along with Terry Grimwood amongst the fringe. Usually with byelections one expects the normal 75,950 valid total eligible to 46,162 valid total voters from the 2015 general election to drop by around half, more or less around 23,081 should be par, with the top issue of the byelection being the Montréal based Surveyor Nenniger Chênevert-Lalonde Valois International Limited engineering, procurement, and construction services company scandal Trudeau Liberals has been the biggest talk on the street. The Twenty Fifth of February will be a tough one to call, however the People's Party Tyler-Thompson should still gain 30% and win the seat if she can be the protest vote, Singh and the Neodemos place second with 26 percent of the vote, Lee and the Grits take up third with 21 in percentage, as Shin and the Tories fights for fourth at 16% and from the fringe Wu finishes with fifth at 7% of the vote from unaffiliated Greens and Grimwood sixth with less than 1% vote for the Independents.

Burnaby South becomes Beaver River and a return to Reform for the People's Party of Canada, Laura-Lynn Tyler-Thompson in many different ways replicates a social conservative first Deborah Grey to Maxime Bernier's version of a fiscal conservative first Preston Manning, but can they grow to make their populist movement more than just a moral conservative alternative in Canada by October or come up short to allow the socialists a leader to prop up the current welfare state governmental regime?

Like Kathleen Wynne and the Ontario Liberals, the Justin Trudeau Liberals federally continue to intervene and institute their own rules just to anger those Tory premiers across the land, which should peak in their power once the pipeline politics and new National Energy Program of Trudeau elect Jason Kenney to office in AlbertaHowever, as the former Reform to Alliance to Conservative party goes back to being like the old Progressive Conservatives, Tory leader Andrew Scheer should have learnt here is principled grassroots politics trumps pragmatic astroturfed politics, one cannot fix or specially endorse political race for nomination primaries or general election campaigns for the gain of your own agenda especially if that agenda is diametrically opposed to one espoused by the general membership you are supposed to be leading, nothing wrong in being different but completely remaking and doing over the whole program so it no longer can recognized ideologically by its followers throws ones leadership into question at best and worst chaos and calamity in a time you need to create solidity and stability. The brand new populist movement Bernier now leads proves that the political elite and the main stream media industrial complex establishment still think not just that only they know best, as recently shown in the Trump Clinton United States Presidential Election where political talking heads, pundits, and pollsters got it wrong over and over again, but they even afterwards still refuse to listen, understand, and begin getting the message that we the people want to say to its government and societal institutions.