From Beaver River to Burnaby South a Return to Reform

Despite the Leader of the Opposing Third Party running in this largely Chinese-Canadian contingent riding of Burnaby South where the safe bet would be a return to another Democratic Socialist like the former NewDemo MP and current Mayor of Vancouver Kennedy Stewart it looks to replace with federal New Democratic Party leader and candidate Jagmeet Singh, however the People's Party of Canada has been campaigning hard behind its candidate Laura-Lynn Tyler-Thompson, running along in the byelection are Liberal Party candidate Richard Lee who quickly replaced Karen Wang, Conservative Party candidate Jay Shin, and while the Green Party did not run but their former provincial candidate Valentine Wu is running independently along with Terry Grimwood amongst the fringe. Usually with byelections one expects the normal 75,950 valid total eligible to 46,162 valid total voters from the 2015 general election to drop by around half, more or less around 23,081 should be par, with the top issue of the byelection being the Montréal based Surveyor Nenniger Chênevert-Lalonde Valois International Limited engineering, procurement, and construction services company scandal Trudeau Liberals has been the biggest talk on the street. The Twenty Fifth of February will be a tough one to call, however the People's Party Tyler-Thompson should still gain 30% and win the seat if she can be the protest vote, Singh and the Neodemos place second with 26 percent of the vote, Lee and the Grits take up third with 21 in percentage, as Shin and the Tories fights for fourth at 16% and from the fringe Wu finishes with fifth at 7% of the vote from unaffiliated Greens and Grimwood sixth with less than 1% vote for the Independents.

Burnaby South becomes Beaver River and a return to Reform for the People's Party of Canada, Laura-Lynn Tyler-Thompson in many different ways replicates a social conservative first Deborah Grey to Maxime Bernier's version of a fiscal conservative first Preston Manning, but can they grow to make their populist movement more than just a moral conservative alternative in Canada by October or come up short to allow the socialists a leader to prop up the current welfare state governmental regime?

Like Kathleen Wynne and the Ontario Liberals, the Justin Trudeau Liberals federally continue to intervene and institute their own rules just to anger those Tory premiers across the land, which should peak in their power once the pipeline politics and new National Energy Program of Trudeau elect Jason Kenney to office in Alberta. However, as the former Reform to Alliance to Conservative party goes back to being like the old Progressive Conservatives, Tory leader Andrew Scheer should have learnt here is principled grassroots politics trumps pragmatic astroturfed politics, one cannot fix or specially endorse political race for nomination primaries or general election campaigns for the gain of your own agenda especially if that agenda is diametrically opposed to one espoused by the general membership you are supposed to be leading, nothing wrong in being different but completely remaking and doing over the whole program so it no longer can recognized ideologically by its followers throws ones leadership into question at best and worst chaos and calamity in a time you need to create solidity and stability. The brand new populist movement Bernier now leads proves that the political elite and the main stream media industrial complex establishment still think not just that only they know best, as recently shown in the Trump Clinton United States Presidential Election where political talking heads, pundits, and pollsters got it wrong over and over again, but they even afterwards still refuse to listen, understand, and begin getting the message that we the people want to say to its government and societal institutions.

Orange Crushed by the Red Machine in Outremont

Despite the cries of the former Opposition Leader who just vacated representing the riding of Outremont, former NeoDemo leader and MP Tom Mulcair calls for the head of federal New Democratic Party leader and candidate Jagmeet Singh do not equate to his vying to become the next leader of the Green Party, but rather a Liberal replacing his NeoDemo seat as the New Democratic candidate Julia Sànchez guns it hard against the Liberal candidate Rachel Bendayan. Running along in the byelection with third being a fight between the Green Party candidate Daniel Green and Bloc Québécois candidate Michel Duchesne, fifth will be a battle royale between the Conservative Party candidate Jasmine Louras and People's Party of Canada candidate James Seale with the Independent being William Barrett. Usually with byelections one expects the normal 70,559 valid total eligible to 44,045 valid total voters from the 2015 general election to drop by around half, more or less around 22,022 should be par, with the top issue of the byelection being the Montréal based Surveyor Nenniger Chênevert-Lalonde Valois International Limited engineering, procurement, and construction services company scandal Trudeau Liberals has been the biggest talk on the street. The Twenty Fifth of February will be a tough one to call, however Bendayan and the Grits should still gain 45% and win the seat, Sànchez and the Neodemos place second with 25 percent of the vote, Duchesne and the Bloc take up third with 12 in percentage with Green and the Greens fight for fourth at 9%, as Louras and the Tories finishes with fifth at 5 percent and Seale and the People's seals up sixth at 3% or more while from the fringe William Barrett takes less than 1% of the vote for Independent.

As the Orange Crushed by the Red Machine in Outremont brings us back to the old Martinite Jean Lapierre versus Chretienite Martin Cauchon 1993-2006 era battles of old which go back to leadership rivalries such as Paul Martin versus Jean Chrétien, Chrétien versus John Turner, and Turner took on Pierre Trudeau, does the Liberals now have a new AdScam Sponsorgate scandal with the LavScam SNC-LaValIn affair, with no proper opposition from anyone in the House it would seem Prime Minister Trudeau has no cause to once and for all end the democratic deficit which led a direct line from that old fiasco under the old regime to the new fiasco under the new regime Jody Wilson-Raybould has now uncovered?

Like Kathleen Wynne and the Ontario Liberals, the Justin Trudeau Liberals federally continue to intervene and institute their own rules just to anger those Tory premiers across the land, which should peak in their power once the pipeline politics and new National Energy Program of Trudeau elect Jason Kenney to office in Alberta. However, as the former Reform to Alliance to Conservative party goes back to being like the old Progressive Conservatives, Tory leader Andrew Scheer should have learnt here is principled grassroots politics trumps pragmatic astroturfed politics, one cannot fix or specially endorse political race for nomination primaries or general election campaigns for the gain of your own agenda especially if that agenda is diametrically opposed to one espoused by the general membership you are supposed to be leading, nothing wrong in being different but completely remaking and doing over the whole program so it no longer can recognized ideologically by its followers throws ones leadership into question at best and worst chaos and calamity in a time you need to create solidity and stability. The brand new populist movement Bernier now leads proves that the political elite and the main stream media industrial complex establishment still think not just that only they know best, as recently shown in the Trump Clinton United States Presidential Election where political talking heads, pundits, and pollsters got it wrong over and over again, but they even afterwards still refuse to listen, understand, and begin getting the message that we the people want to say to its government and societal institutions.

York-Simcoe feels real true Blue

Being a High Tory Conservative riding all but two terms of Liberalism York-Simcoe would be a safe bet for a return to another Tory like the former Conservative MP Peter Van Loan it looks to replace with federal Conservative Party candidate Scot Davidson, yet the federal Liberal candidate Shaun Tanaka has been running since the provincial for the Grits, running along in the byelection are federal New Democratic Party candidate Jessa McLean, the Green Party candidate Mathew Lund, with Progressive Canadian Dorian Baxter, People's Party of Canada Robert Geurts, Libertarian Keith Komar, National Citizens Alliance Adam Suhr, and perennial Pauper John Turmel amongst the fringe. Usually with byelections one expects the normal 75,570 valid total eligible to 48,111 valid total voters from the 2015 general election to drop by around half, more or less around 24,055 should be par, with the top issue of the byelection being the Montréal based Surveyor Nenniger Chênevert-Lalonde Valois International Limited engineering, procurement, and construction services company scandal Trudeau Liberals has been the biggest talk on the street. The Twenty Fifth of February will be easy to see, however Davidson and the Tories likely gain 47% and win the seat, Tanaka and the Grits place second with 33 percent of the vote, McLean and the Neodemos take up third with 9 in percentage, as Lund and the Greens finish with fourth at less than 4%, while Progressive Canadian candidate Baxter fight for fifth starts with 3% or more and Geurts and the People's slide into sixth with 3% or less as this is High Tory country of Mulroneyite Progressive Canadian Sinclair Stevens not Libertarian Nationalist Reform and from the fringe I actually think the best of the rest goes as follows Libertarian Komar sixth, National Citizens Alliance Adam Suhr seventh, and Pauper Turmel eighth.

As York-Simcoe feels real true Blue especially with a Ford Nation Tory fuelled win provincially behind them, does this mean Trudeau will use this provincial Conservative opposition in Toronto to fuel a federal Liberal opposition in Ottawa leaving Scheer down and out then gone like the Wynne, if so then are we not back to all the same old status quo political tricks of the past both Doug and Justin promised the people they would not play?

Like Kathleen Wynne and the Ontario Liberals, the Justin Trudeau Liberals federally continue to intervene and institute their own rules just to anger those Tory premiers across the land, which should peak in their power once the pipeline politics and new National Energy Program of Trudeau elect Jason Kenney to office in Alberta. However, as the former Reform to Alliance to Conservative party goes back to being like the old Progressive Conservatives, Tory leader Andrew Scheer should have learnt here is principled grassroots politics trumps pragmatic astroturfed politics, one cannot fix or specially endorse political race for nomination primaries or general election campaigns for the gain of your own agenda especially if that agenda is diametrically opposed to one espoused by the general membership you are supposed to be leading, nothing wrong in being different but completely remaking and doing over the whole program so it no longer can recognized ideologically by its followers throws ones leadership into question at best and worst chaos and calamity in a time you need to create solidity and stability. The brand new populist movement Bernier now leads proves that the political elite and the main stream media industrial complex establishment still think not just that only they know best, as recently shown in the Trump Clinton United States Presidential Election where political talking heads, pundits, and pollsters got it wrong over and over again, but they even afterwards still refuse to listen, understand, and begin getting the message that we the people want to say to its government and societal institutions.