Wednesday, May 16, 2018

Ontario chooses Shades of Rae or Merits of Harris

As we get closer to our provincial general election campaign finish line, Ontarians clearly are making known to all that no longer is there is any room for David Peterson or should I say Kathleen Wynne and her Ontario Liberals, I stand by my position that our provincial Grits will give or take have about half a dozen seats from their 55 majority going in and only 17 percent of the vote from their near 39 at the current. The pragmatic centre where it supposedly is today fell apart, where Kathleen thought campaigning further out into the left on spending would allow her to go back to cutting on the right in government, as Horvath tore her far leftways while Ford took a hard altright turn Wynne could not pick and choose from. Actually worse than anything David had, Kathleen might put the Ontario Liberals out to pasture a la Iggy or further into a politico bizarro world in which they do not even qualify for official status in the Ontario Legislative Assembly for next session.

With their own might as one province, Ontario today now chooses Shades of Rae or Merits of Harris, either we are heading to a 1990 or 1995 style finish to such a horrendous campaign as this one has been for all good hearted Ontarians.

I think neither prediction is pure, a Bob Rae styled New Democrat Orange Crush under Andrea Horvath seems to be getting more unlikely as the chances of a Mike Harris styled Progressive Conservative Blue Wave under Doug Ford get bigger as the days go by, unless a huge tsunami sweeps away Ford with a Harris like scandal a la Walkerton or Ipperwash within his campaign then Ontarians seem more at ease with the Ontario Tories than the New Democrats. Ford will likely gain 44 percent of the vote and 73 seats, up from roughly 35 percent and a half and 37 seats, Horvath and the New Democrats will likely gain 39 percent of the vote and 45 seats, up from around 23 percent and 21 seats, and no return for the Trilliums and no gain for the Greens as the minor fringe stay that way this next time around. So close to Harris for Ford and kind of Rae for Horvath, thanks completely to Wynne being worse than Peterson, both the Progressive Conservatives and New Democrats have their best shows ever at the expense of the worst ever campaign by the Liberals for years to come yet but perhaps a Trudeau waits in their Liberal youth wings yet.