Monday, September 17, 2012

Ontario New Democrats popular because of the party next door

While in Toronto getting my passport and social insurance security card renewed at the consulate, used the afternoon to walk up north on University Avenue to get some time at Queen's Park to snoop around the Pink Palace to do some investigating at the Ontario Legislature grounds post byelection and pre legsession, from what I have seen and heard I believe the Ontario New Democrats will be hard to beat when the Mcguinty Liberal minority government falls after this year. Times are touch, economically people are looking to insulate themselves, the Ontario New Democrats make lots of good fiscal promise to put some cash in the working man's pocket, somewhere the Ontario Tories are least thought of in that regard. However things may quickly change federally, if Justin Trudeau becomes the new leader of the Grits in Ottawa, then watch the néo démocrates start losing Québec to him and that will automatically bring Ontario back to the Progressive Conservative brand, just as the nation moves towards the Liberals.

But for today, the reason the New Democrats are so popular in Ontario is solely because of Québec, who always have been huge for social justice and democracy.

I believe with the addition of Trudeau, his spectre changes the whole game for the New Democrats here and the néo démocrates there, as Thomas Mulcair likely already knows, as likely does Andrea Horwath. Add to these Premier ministre du Québec Pauline Marois, her péquistes and the bloquistes, all of whom recognize that though they are in a very fixed position, politically could get back into the game if their main competition for social justice and democratic votes simply vanished in the middle of the night, this especially the case for the Bloc, who can use the separation, language and heritage question to win back its Québécois votes. So it maybe that with Trudeau running the Liberals federally, a Tim Hudak Tory government is now a possibility with an upcoming snap election after the current prorogued session of their unstable minority situation, rather than a New Democrat one under Horwath, what is a likely probability is that we have seen the last of a Liberal government in Ontario for a long while, if these are the cases.