Tuesday, August 19, 2008

Vee Pee will be either more of the same or change

Hello Denver then hello Saint Paul, first the Democrats then the Republicans, next week Jackasses will gather to get Mile High, while Labour Day will give the Elephants Excel Energy for their pump up play. As the Blues and the Reds fight it out in the streets, trying all their best to make peace with the average Joe and Jane on the street, seeing if the media can get them an all time high bounce that excels past that out of nowhere miracle a supposed backwater nobody named Bill Clinton performed so many years ago in 1992. The question however, will not be just how high the big bounce will be coming out of the convention, but rather who is going to be picked as the vice president nominee for both Obama and Mccain, something which is much more critical for the Demos than the Repubs.

Obama is change, so going with another grey haired full white guy will not work, been done from time immemorium, but the obvious is not to obvious anymore. The dream ticket of Obama and Clinton is not going to go, as Hillary wants either 2012 if Barack does bomb, or 2016 if history is kind to him, so instead Democrats need a redeem ticket, one that now will ignore John Edwards. Besides how much changes does Clinton really have in her political genes, so the obvious choice for Obama is narrowed down to just three, Russ Feingold, Dianne Feinstein and Debbie Stabenow.

Feingold, is the leading contender as one of Obama's most strongest supporters, the Wisconsin junior Senator has a long history of bucking the going trend, foe example the only Senator to vote against the USA PATRIOT or Uniting and Strengthening America by Providing Appropriate Tools Required to Intercept and Obstruct Terrorism Act, as well the former recipient of the John F. Kennedy Profile in Courage Award is about as bipartisan as they come, working along with John in cosponsorship of the Bipartisan Campaign Reform Act, a major piece of campaign finance reform legislation in this century. However, as he is a man, politics say they need a women to balance this dynamic once in a lifetime ticket for change, but the selection has less to do with the selection of the women, but rather the selection of the region. California must be won and California Senator Feinstein can win it, however, if Michigan is indeed the battleground this year, as I believe it is, then Michigan Senator Stabenow is the one, especially as she comes from the same class year as Clinton.

Mccain is different, his situation does not force him to pick someone specific, as Obama must pick either an actual agent of change or a women from voter rich or key battleground territory, anyone can do for him and likely will. Detroit born Mitt Romney, a former Governor of Massachusetts, whose dad was a Governor of Michigan and 1968 presidential candidate, seems to be the no brainer, especially with again Michigan being the key battleground this year in my own mind. However, as he was also a former candidate for the Republican nomination in the 2008 United States presidential election, there may be some problems with this, so if he is out, these are the next three best bets.

The hometown favourite, like fellow Minnesotans Hubert Humphrey and Walter Mondale from conventions past, will be Governor Tim Pawlenty of Minnesota, no doubt about it here, especially as Minnesota will be another battleground come November. Another one who is a strong supporter of Mccain could be Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger of California, with the vote rich population to boot, yet neither seem to have the political experience to make such picks reality. So, in the end, one has to go to Joseph Lieberman, the independent Democratic Senator from Connecticut, whose own bipartisanship is only matched by that of a Russ Feingold, which it may very well be. If Barack goes anywhere else but Obama-Feingold or one of the gals, John may very well have it with a future Mccain-Lieberman administration for America, or Romney for his base. So, we now wait, as one of these two will make a mistake, anything less than change for Obama or anything off the status quo for Mccain, then it will be showtime.